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The Scam Playbook: What to Watch For in 2026

  • Writer: Doug Oosterhart, CFP®
    Doug Oosterhart, CFP®
  • a few seconds ago
  • 3 min read

We’re all targets for fraud, nearly every day.


You've probably noticed it too. The scam texts, the suspicious emails, the robocalls that somehow know your name. It feels like it's getting worse, and the data backs that up.


According to a recent Pew Research study, a majority of U.S. adults report getting scam phone calls (68%), emails (63%), or text messages (61%) at least weekly. Almost a third say they're dealing with scam attempts every single day.

And it's about to get harder to tell what's real.


Cybersecurity firm McAfee reports that the average American now encounters 2.6 deepfake videos daily. Not celebrity face-swaps or funny memes, but sophisticated scams using realistic AI-generated video of people you might actually know. The cost of making these has dropped dramatically, which means we're going to see a lot more of them.


Protecting yourself starts with awareness. Here are a few of the more common scams I've seen recently, followed by some general rules that work across almost any fraud attempt.


The Debt Collector Text


These usually read something like:

"This is [Reputable Financial Company], a debt collector. Contact us about ref # 010101001 @ 123-456-7890 or [link]"

Sometimes the message references a real company or even the federal government, and it often includes a specific dollar amount to make it feel official. The goal is simple: scare you into "paying off" a debt that doesn't exist.



The "Did You Attempt a Transaction?" Text

"[Reputable Bank]. Did you attempt a transaction of $XXX.XX...Reply YES or NO. If NO, a representative will contact you immediately."

Reply "NO," and you'll get a call from someone pretending to be from the fraud department. They'll ask for your login credentials or a verification code, which is all they need to drain the account.



The "Unpaid Toll" Text

"E-Z Pass Notification: You have an outstanding toll balance of $6.75. Click [link] to pay."

This one is sneaky because the amount feels too small to be a scam. That's exactly why it works. The low dollar amount lowers your guard, and the link is built to capture your payment information.



The Fake Invoice Email

"Invoice # 84721 attached. Payment due immediately."

These often look like they're from legitimate companies, sometimes even ones you actually do business with. The invoice may include real-looking logos and reference vague services. The goal is to get you to either click a malicious attachment (giving them access to your computer) or pay an invoice that was never real.


How to Protect Yourself


Most reputable institutions will not contact you by text or email with urgent requests. They use formal channels, usually regular mail. That doesn't make mail bulletproof either, but it means anything urgent arriving by text, email, or unexpected phone call deserves a second look.


A few rules that apply broadly:


1. Slow down. Urgency is the scammer's biggest weapon. A short pause and a little skepticism are usually all it takes to avoid a costly mistake.


2. Never click links or call numbers from unsolicited messages. If you want to verify something, go directly to the company's official website and use the contact information listed there. This works regardless of how the message arrived.


3. Guard your personal information carefully. Legitimate institutions will never call you to ask for passwords, Social Security numbers, or verification codes. If someone asks, assume it's not legitimate and follow rule # 2.


4. When in doubt, assume it's a scam. It is far easier to verify something is real than to recover from fraud.


These scams are not going away. They will get more common and more convincing as the technology behind them gets cheaper. The good news is that avoiding them does not require any technical expertise. It just takes a little awareness and a healthy dose of skepticism.


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